September JobSeekers (preliminary)

Thanks again to Michael Klapdor for an early link to September JobSeeker data provided to the Senate Covid-19 Committee. Cairns SA4 numbers partially reversed the August increase. My preference still is to look at this as a percentage of the estimated eligible age population now updated to June 2020.  The salient point of these graphs…

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Payrolls updated to September

Weekly payroll data from ABS has been updated to September 11. Index is based to 100 in the week to March 14 2020.Two points of caution around this data. First, the most recent weeks data in a release tends to subsequently be revised upwards which may make the trend appear weaker than the subsequent revision.…

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Google Mobility Movements

Updated Google mobility to Saturday 24 September covers the first week of school holidays. The school holiday periods are shaded here. There is a distinct fall in the workplace category which appears to be a feature of the data series represented here as a 7 day moving average. The period of big falls in between…

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Infatuation with Population

While everyone is trying to interpret the ABS labour force survey employment data I think I will just keep a quiet watch on the SA4 regional working age population which is an input assumption to the ABS employment data: Most recent official published regional population by age from ABS is to June 2020. I think…

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Earthquake risk in Cairns

Reposted from 2016. I will also add link to the Insurance page: The excitement around the Bowen Melbourne earthquake last this week reminded me of this now dated 1999 report I stumbled upon some time ago, with a foreword from a more youthful Warren Entsch. The building construction and location data would be well out…

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Covid Era Population Growth

ABS population last week to March 2021 was the first full year of the covid era: Australia’s population growth close to zero It was a barely positive 0.1% with external immigration mostly blocked. Which sits oddly with widely reported regional housing shortages when national population growth is below national dwelling construction. Internally there were big…

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August JobSeekers

August JobSeekers + Youth Allowance (other) showed a marginal national decline in August although this was all over the place between different states and territories. Mutual obligation requirements are currently relaxed again for lockdown locations in NSW and Victoria. With different lockdown circumstances and border closures in different states I don’t see much point trying…

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Vaccination Data #2

Recent covid vaccination data has extended down to SA3 statistical region level: Cairns region is performing above average for Queensland regions. There are also still distinct demographic differences with higher rates generally in more affluent older demographics in urban areas. Cairns – North stands out here in our region more than 5 percentage points above…

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