Interim Monthly JobSeekers

An interim release of JobSeeker data to the Senate Covid Committee as at October 8. This is two weeks after the September data which was to the 24th. Cairns SA4 JobSeekers in this period, which also coincides with the school holiday period, fell by 211 to the lowest since March 2020 but remains above that…

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SA4 Vaccination Rates

Weekly SA4 region vaccination rates updated to 11/10/2021. I have only used 1st dose here for simplicity and with Pfizer dominating these should roll through within weeks to full vaccination. The legend ranks the Queensland regions top to bottom: The rate of increase in the vaccination rate in Cairns over the course of this data…

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SQM Vacancies & Listings

SQM vacancy rates updated for September remain at very low levels around Cairns with some differences between postcode areas. Most interest here is in postcodes 4870 (central) and 4879 (beaches): Weekly listings data from SQM, which is not the same as vacancies which attempts to identify genuinely vacant properties between tenants, shows some bounce in…

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Almost Meaningless Airport Data

Cairns Airport have posted traffic numbers for September. My preferred perspective compared as a percentage of pre-covid 2019: Pretty awful but September numbers this year were 28,632 above 2020. BITRE lagging data is to July 2021 on top routes: Hard to keep up with the timeline of events here. Victoria had an early lockdown but…

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September JobSeekers (preliminary)

Thanks again to Michael Klapdor for an early link to September JobSeeker data provided to the Senate Covid-19 Committee. Cairns SA4 numbers partially reversed the August increase. My preference still is to look at this as a percentage of the estimated eligible age population now updated to June 2020.  The salient point of these graphs…

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Payrolls updated to September

Weekly payroll data from ABS has been updated to September 11. Index is based to 100 in the week to March 14 2020.Two points of caution around this data. First, the most recent weeks data in a release tends to subsequently be revised upwards which may make the trend appear weaker than the subsequent revision.…

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Google Mobility Movements

Updated Google mobility to Saturday 24 September covers the first week of school holidays. The school holiday periods are shaded here. There is a distinct fall in the workplace category which appears to be a feature of the data series represented here as a 7 day moving average. The period of big falls in between…

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Infatuation with Population

While everyone is trying to interpret the ABS labour force survey employment data I think I will just keep a quiet watch on the SA4 regional working age population which is an input assumption to the ABS employment data: Most recent official published regional population by age from ABS is to June 2020. I think…

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Earthquake risk in Cairns

Reposted from 2016. I will also add link to the Insurance page: The excitement around the Bowen Melbourne earthquake last this week reminded me of this now dated 1999 report I stumbled upon some time ago, with a foreword from a more youthful Warren Entsch. The building construction and location data would be well out…

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Covid Era Population Growth

ABS population last week to March 2021 was the first full year of the covid era: Australia’s population growth close to zero It was a barely positive 0.1% with external immigration mostly blocked. Which sits oddly with widely reported regional housing shortages when national population growth is below national dwelling construction. Internally there were big…

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