DSS JobSeeker numbers in Cairns for December lifted by 1,095 over the previous month. However this is pretty much in the ballpark for previous seasonal data for December. Omicron may consequently have made a mess of this so we may have to wait a month or two … or three … Note: The only Cairns…
Read more Seasonal JobSeeker Data
Cairns has thrived through the pandemic period and defied southern commentators with their somewhat misguided stereotype of Cairns. Then came omicron with Google mobility compared to the previous year: Not much on the shelves anyway I guess for grocery. Hmmm. Anyway. Parks can always depend on weather so we should be cautious but ….. …..people…
Read more Then came omicron
Google mobility (and other) data becomes extremely volatile around Christmas and public holidays. So let’s compare the 2020 and 2021 periods for December and January. These are reasonably comparable as the shift in dates between years creates a similar time frame with two consecutive long weekends. It shifts the Christmas weekend by a day and…
Read more Christmas Mobility
Catching up with payrolls data regionally updated by ABS to November 13th. Previous post included included commentary from ABS on volatility and to expect revisions: Cassowary Coast and Tableland Top Cairns Regional Payrolls Revisions here are starting to overwhelm data quality but nobody bothers with data quality when it is the “official” ABS employment numbers…
Read more Revisions + volatility v Credibility of Payrolls
AEC electoral enrolments to November 30 continue to widen the gaps in our northern region divisions with Leichhardt (Cairns) in vibrant green, Herbert (Townsville) in baby-shit brown, and Kennedy (Bob Katter) in bright pink. The turnaround in Leichhardt from the Covid onset in March 2020 remains striking. This is again variation from the average…
Read more Regional Enrolments Gap Continues to Widen
Airport numbers in November were again really just a matter of updating spreadsheet maintenance. Up on the previous year. Drifting nowhere compared to 2019. Rolling 12 month net arrivals – departures nudged out to the largest gap since February. The December / January period following open borders could be the first really interesting airport data…
Read more Airport Nowhere November
Interim November JobSeekers to a parliamentary committee courtesy again to Michael Klapdor for the link. This is only a further two weeks of data from the previous October release with numbers continuing to fall a further 215 or 1.32% since October in Cairns SA4. Cairns SA3 regions as a percentage of relevant population cohort: Indexed Cairns SA3…
Read more Interim November JobSeekers
It’s been a while since I posted on the Google mobility data mainly because the Cairns data has been mostly quite benign. Like other series we are seeing this is quite new data without any seasonal record in a period where seasonality has itself been shredded. I have included an average reluctantly because I’m not…
Read more A further look at Google mobility data
Annual growth in Queensland electoral enrolments continue to roll down with border restrictions in place and is now at 1.7% p.a. year to October. I should go back and compile comparative state data here and interest will be on what happens in the new year. In our Queensland divisions Leichhardt continues to be the only…
Read more FNQ electoral enrolments continue to grow faster than anywhere north from Gladstone
October JobSeeker numbers from DSS Centrelink continued to fall in the Cairns region while remaining modestly above March 2020 levels: The best way to look at this is as a percentage of the eligible population age group represented here at SA3 level: These graphs highlight two different things from the same data. The top graph…
Read more October JobSeekers
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